Sunday, September 16
Friday, September 14
Ben Bernanke Cannot Print a New Steve Jobs
Gold bulls rejoice, for open-ended QE is here!
Yesterday's Fed announcement wasn't the long rumored 'QE3', as a '3' implies a beginning and an end like the two prior rounds of quantitative easing.
The Fed has instead committed to not stop printing new money until the economy improves.
What then will the Fed do if the economy never improves, meaning unemployment never gets back below 5%? Will the Fed go on printing forever? We shall have to wait and see.
In the meantime anyone who believes that printing money ad infinitum will fix what ails the U.S. economy, or the global economy for that matter, is living in macroeconomic Willy Wonkaland.
Monetary policy in the form of printing new money and changing interest rates does very little if anything to improve the foundational competitiveness of an economy. The most dynamic economies are the ones which are the most productive and most innovative, and monetary policy has very little if any impact on these two areas.
The kind of GDP growth driven by purchases of products like Apple's iPhone reflects real economic growth. The kind of GDP growth derived from nominal GDP targeting (aka inflation) is fake.
In short, Ben Bernanke cannot create new real jobs. Real jobs are created by the Steve Jobs of the world.
However, it's much easier for central planners to punch a few buttons on a keyboard and print more money than to make the long-term adjustments necessary for fundamental economic improvement.
Yesterday's Fed announcement wasn't the long rumored 'QE3', as a '3' implies a beginning and an end like the two prior rounds of quantitative easing.
The Fed has instead committed to not stop printing new money until the economy improves.
What then will the Fed do if the economy never improves, meaning unemployment never gets back below 5%? Will the Fed go on printing forever? We shall have to wait and see.
In the meantime anyone who believes that printing money ad infinitum will fix what ails the U.S. economy, or the global economy for that matter, is living in macroeconomic Willy Wonkaland.
Monetary policy in the form of printing new money and changing interest rates does very little if anything to improve the foundational competitiveness of an economy. The most dynamic economies are the ones which are the most productive and most innovative, and monetary policy has very little if any impact on these two areas.
The kind of GDP growth driven by purchases of products like Apple's iPhone reflects real economic growth. The kind of GDP growth derived from nominal GDP targeting (aka inflation) is fake.
In short, Ben Bernanke cannot create new real jobs. Real jobs are created by the Steve Jobs of the world.
However, it's much easier for central planners to punch a few buttons on a keyboard and print more money than to make the long-term adjustments necessary for fundamental economic improvement.
Friday, August 24
Monday, August 6
Sunday, August 5
Video: The Great Euro Crisis (BBC)
A good series of interviews for understanding why many Greeks (and Germans) still prefer that Greece keep the euro rather than return to its previous currency, the drachma.
Wednesday, July 11
Friday, July 6
Book Review: Private Empire – ExxonMobil and American Power by Steve Coll
If you were expecting Private Empire, the latest book by two-time Pulitzer Prize winning author Steve
Coll, to serve as a hit piece on ExxonMobil (and 'Big Oil' in general) you’ll be somewhat disappointed.
For anyone unfamiliar with his previous work, Steve Coll’s
earlier books include the highly recommended Ghost
Wars, arguably the definitive geopolitical account of the activities of
the CIA and other national intelligence agencies in Afghanistan and Pakistan
from the time of the Soviet invasion up to the eve of the 9-11. Ghost Wars won the Pulitzer Prize in 2004
for general non-fiction and was one of the books a newly elected President
Barrack Obama was reported to be reading upon entering office.
Steve Coll describes in an interview with Charlie
Rose what lead him to want to write Private Empire and how his original idea for the book was to tell a broader story about the oil industry in the style of Daniel Yergin’s The Prize. He soon realized, however,
that he needed a central character and Exxon was for him the only logical
choice.
Coll’s portrait of Exxon begins in March 1989 with the Exxon
Valdez oil spill in Prince William Sound, Alaska, an event which made the
company the most reviled in the United Sates. The book’s timeline spans the
subsequent transformation of the company, which was led by CEO Lee “Iron Ass” Raymond, up
through its present day stewardship by current CEO Rex Tillerson. Along the way
we learn a great deal about Exxon, including its somewhat peculiar cult-like corporate
culture, its blockbuster merger with Mobil, its controversial stance and
efforts on global warning, the access it enjoyed to political leaders such as
Vice President Dick Cheney, its somewhat misleading approach to reporting oil
reserves, and the company’s record setting financial success. The book in fact
makes for a compelling business case study and students of business history,
strategy and management will find much of interest.
The most interesting sections of the book are the ones detailing ExxonMobil’s operations in some of the world’s most politically
unstable regions. ExxonMobil’s bread and butter business is to invest billions
of dollars drilling holes in the ground in countries like Equatorial Guinea and
Chad and then spend the next 30-40 years working to make sure that nothing
interrupts the company's return on investment. Coll’s account of the 2004 attempted coup
in Equatorial Guinea by a group of British and South African mercenaries, who were supported from some elements within the Spanish government, is one of the most fascinating
stories in the book.
Continue reading the full review here.
Continue reading the full review here.
Tuesday, July 3
Saturday, June 16
Greece vs. Germany: Football Showdown Between Europe's Arch Debt Crisis Antagonists Looks Likely
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| Germany vs. Greece |
Anyone following the vitriol which has been spewed in the Greek and German media towards each respective country these past two years can't help but be intrigued by a possible matchup of the two Eurozone debt crisis antagonists on the football pitch.
Will Angela Merkel extend an olive branch and invite Greece's newly elected 'Sexy Alexis' Tsipras to share the spectators box at the match? Will tempers fueled by 2+ years of economic depression and feelings of being cheated and bullied boil over amongst the players? Would a lopsided German victory serve to further engrain in the Greek psyche the notion of a German-dominated Europe?
Or, more optimistically, will sport -- in its unique role in our society -- do what it does when it's at its best and serve as a means to bring disagreeing peoples together to help form the basis for a constructive way forward in the Eurozone crisis?
A more pressing question is how would Greece's advance to the quarterfinals affect tomorrow's national election? One can imagine the euphoria from victory over Russia working in favor of status quo parties such as New Democracy, which appear to have positioned themselves as more pro-Europe, and against protest parties like Syriza, which have benefitted from a frustrated, angry electorate.
If the matchup between Greece and Germany happens it would take place on Friday 22 June at 19:45 GMT.
Update: Greece did their part, beating Russia 1-0. Now if Germany can win Group B tomorrow we'll have our showdown.
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